Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Andrey Chepelev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Andrey Chepelev has won 39.06% of points on his second serve compared to Stefan Adrian Andreescu's 40.91%. Does this give Andreescu an edge? Possibly, as even a slight advantage in this area can influence match outcomes significantly.
• Return Game Strength: Chepelev has recently claimed 47.33% of points on opponents' second serves, trailing slightly behind Andreescu's 50%. For first serve returns, Chepelev stands at 30.88% while Andreescu leads with 34.33%. These stats suggest Andreescu could hold a slight advantage in return games.
• Pressure Handling: Chepelev excels slightly under pressure by saving 49.51% of breakpoints, compared to Andreescu's 48.74%. Is this enough to make a decisive impact? It's a slight edge but might not be critical.
• Match Win Rate: Over the past year, Chepelev has a 64.52% match win rate, marginally better than Andreescu's 61.11%. This overall success rate hints at Chepelev's stronger consistency.
• Best Surface: Both players boast a 61% win rate on clay, suggesting no distinct advantage here for either player on this surface.
• Match Level Experience: Chepelev and Andreescu have mostly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, with Chepelev having a slight edge in win percentage (64.52% vs. 61.73%). Does this experience make a difference? It might, slightly favoring Chepelev.
• Opponent Quality: Chepelev has faced less challenging opponents with an average rank of 475.44, whereas Andreescu's foes have averaged 359.83, suggesting Andreescu has competed against tougher challengers.
• Deciding Sets: Chepelev has a stronger record in deciding sets, winning 58% compared to Andreescu's 44%, which could be crucial if the match goes the distance.
• Break Point Conversion: Both players are similar in converting break points recently, with Chepelev at 38.93% and Andreescu at 38.39%. This parity might mean break points won't be a significant differentiator.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Andrey Chepelev and Stefan Adrian Andreescu promises to be a competitive encounter, with Andreescu appearing to have an edge in several statistical areas. His superior recent form in returning serves and facing a tougher average level of opponents might give him a slight advantage. However, Chepelev's consistent match win rate and better performance in high-pressure scenarios such as deciding sets shouldn't be overlooked.

Both players enjoy success on clay, which is likely the playing surface. This neutralizes any distinct advantage either might have based on preferred playing conditions.

Considering all factors, while Andreescu shows promising stats, Chepelev's consistency and performance under pressure might just tip the scales slightly in his favor for a win in this closely contested match.